4th down decision
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Frequently asked questions
When should teams always go for it?
Modern analytics strongly favour going for it on 4th and short (1-2 yards) anywhere beyond your own 30-yard line. The expected value of conversion usually exceeds the expected value of punting, especially in the opponent's half.
What's a 'short' 4th down?
1-2 yards is short (go for it is usually correct); 3-4 yards is borderline; 5+ yards generally favours punting unless you're in field-goal range or facing a must-score situation.